Trump Odds Tracker
43events
Live odds on Trump-related questions across the prediction markets — impeachment, approval, his agenda, and the news driving the biggest moves.
consensus
Will Trump be impeached?⚑ same question · every platformthe same flagship question priced on each platform that lists it — the gap is where the markets disagree.
the model race
each platform’s standings on the marquee question
KalshiBefore Jan 1, 202864%
Before Mar 1, 202720%
Before Jan 1, 20274%
Before Sep 1, 20261%
Before Jun 1, 20260%
PolymarketDecember 31, 202763%
June 30, 202747%
December 31, 20263%
marketprob · Δ24hvol 24h
Trump x Greenland deal signed by...?
polymarket·December 3194¢
▲ 79.0pp
$104.4k
vol 24h
Trump's RCP approval average on Sep 19, 2026?
kalshi·39.6%74¢
▲ 74.0pp
$65.4k
vol 24h
Who will be Trump's next Press Secretary?
kalshi·Scott Jennings20¢
▼ 2.0pp
$63.7k
vol 24h
Trump Truth Social posts this week? (9/13-9/19)
kalshi·120-13941¢
▲ 21.0pp
$56.6k
vol 24h
Will Donald Trump attend UFC 331?
kalshi·Yes1¢
· 0.0pp
$52.6k
vol 24h
Will Trump be impeached?
kalshi·Before Jan 1, 202864¢
▲ 4.0pp
$45.3k
vol 24h
Will Trump publicly criticize Kevin Warsh?
kalshi·Before Jan 1, 202744¢
▲ 6.0pp
$43.2k
vol 24h
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
polymarket3¢
▲ 0.5pp
$36.2k
vol 24h
How many presidential actions will Trump take this week? (9/13-9/19)
kalshi·At least 199¢
$34.7k
vol 24h
Will Trump buy at least part of Greenland?
kalshi·Before January 20, 202916¢
▲ 2.0pp
$32.5k
vol 24h
Trump out as President by September 30?
polymarket1¢
· 0.0pp
$26.2k
vol 24h
Where will Trump and Putin meet next in 2026?
polymarket·China61¢
▲ 5.0pp
$23.9k
vol 24h