Trump declares election interference national emergency by...?
Polymarket·Politics·ends Jan 1, 2027
As of 23:36 UTC on 23 Oct 2026, the highest-priced of the 2 markets in “Trump declares election interference national emergency by...?” on Polymarket are “December 31” at 27% (-10pp in 24h) and “July 17” at 0%. The event has $7.7k in Polymarket-reported 24-hour volume. pdata.world compares it with 23 related events on Kalshi, Manifold and Polymarket.
vol cum
$221.9k
vol 24h
$7.7k
outcomes
2
ends
Jan 1, 2027
outcomesclick to inspect →
TrumpPoliticsTrump Speech
marketselected outcome
December 31
rank #1
United States
27¢
▼ 10.5pp
24h change
vol cum
$219.1k
vol 24h
$7.7k
spread
0.02
ends
Jan 1, 2027
This market will resolve to “Yes” if President Donald Trump formally declares a national emergency, pursuant to the National Emergencies Act, explicitly relating to interference in U.S. elections or election processes, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
A qualifying declaration must include formal language stating that a national emergency exists and must be issued under the National Emergencies Act (50 U.S.C. § 1621 et seq.). The declaration must explicitly reference interference in U.S. elections, election processes, election systems, voting procedures, ballots, or voting machines as the basis for the emergency. Statements, speeches, social media posts, draft orders, executive orders that do not formally declare a national emergency under the National Emergencies Act, or other actions that merely reference election interference without declaring a national emergency will not qualify.
Renewals or extensions of previously existing national emergencies will not qualify unless the text is materially modified to explicitly relate to election interference.
The primary resolution source will be the Federal Register and official White House publications, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
