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Will Trump finish his second term?
Manifold·Politics
United States
As of 08:57 UTC on 18 Oct 2026, Manifold prices “Will Trump finish his second term?” at 86%. The market has M$661 in Manifold-reported 24-hour volume. pdata.world compares it with 24 related events on Manifold and Kalshi.
86%
▼ 0.2pp
24h change
vol cum
M2M
vol 24h
M661
spread
n/a
ends
Jan 22, 2029
YES 86¢
NO 14¢
Resolves Yes if Trump finishes his second term. Resolves No if Trump doesn't serve a full second term for any reason. @/PuckMinder/will-trump-sign-any-cannabisrelated
us-politicstrumps-second-termmagalanddonald-trumppolitics-default
timeline
opened · Dec 5, 2024opencloses · Jan 22, 2029
