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Will Trump get a third term in office?

Manifold·Elections
United States
5%
vol cum
M26.9k
vol 24h
M0
spread
n/a
ends
Jan 29, 2040
YES
NO 95¢

Will Trump break the 22nd amendment and get a third term? I don’t know if it would violent, or somehow peaceful, but resolves positively if Trump gets inaugurated president a third time. For the record I’m completely against this in every way possible, but I think it’s important to model risks.

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opened · Jan 21, 2025opencloses · Jan 29, 2040
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