Will Donald Trump be inaugurated to a THIRD term as the US President?
As of 17:03 UTC on 20 Jul 2026, Manifold prices “Will Donald Trump be inaugurated to a THIRD term as the US President?” at 3%. The market has no Manifold-reported volume in the last 24 hours. pdata.world compares it with 24 related events on Manifold and Kalshi.
This market will resolve to YES if Donald J. Trump is sworn in to a third term as President Of The United States before February 1 2029. Sep 14, 9:26pm: Will Donald Trump be inaugurated to a third term as the US President? → Will Donald Trump be inaugurated to a THIRD term as the US President? Update 2025-07-11 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Per the creator, the following conditions apply: Any sequence of events that leads to Donald Trump being officially sworn in as president for a third 4-year term will satisfy the market. Temporary delegation of presidential powers (e.g., due to illness or incapacitation) does not count.