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Will Donald Trump be inaugurated to a THIRD term as the US President?

Manifold·Politics
United States

As of 17:03 UTC on 20 Jul 2026, Manifold prices “Will Donald Trump be inaugurated to a THIRD term as the US President?” at 3%. The market has no Manifold-reported volume in the last 24 hours. pdata.world compares it with 24 related events on Manifold and Kalshi.

3%
vol cum
M24.4k
vol 24h
M0
spread
n/a
ends
Jan 31, 2029
YES 3¢
NO 97¢

This market will resolve to YES if Donald J. Trump is sworn in to a third term as President Of The United States before February 1 2029. Sep 14, 9:26pm: Will Donald Trump be inaugurated to a third term as the US President? → Will Donald Trump be inaugurated to a THIRD term as the US President? Update 2025-07-11 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Per the creator, the following conditions apply: Any sequence of events that leads to Donald Trump being officially sworn in as president for a third 4-year term will satisfy the market. Temporary delegation of presidential powers (e.g., due to illness or incapacitation) does not count.

timeline
opened · Aug 21, 2022opencloses · Jan 31, 2029
Will Donald Trump be inaugurated to a THIRD term as the US President? · prices over time
−24h
now
no price history yet
volume · 24h windows
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