event3 outcomes

Will Trump run for a third term?

Kalshi·Elections·ends Nov 7, 2028

As of 01:26 UTC on 23 Oct 2026, the highest-priced of the 3 markets in “Will Trump run for a third term?” on Kalshi are “Before Election Day” at 17% (+1pp in 24h), “Before 2028” at 15% (+1pp in 24h) and “Before 2027” at 5% (-1pp in 24h). The event has $169 in Kalshi-reported 24-hour volume. pdata.world compares it with 24 related events on Kalshi, Manifold and Opinion.

vol cum

$158.2k

vol 24h

$169

outcomes

ends

Nov 7, 2028

outcomesclick to inspect →

marketselected outcome

Before Election Day

rank #1

United States

17¢

▲ 1.0pp

24h change

vol cum

$66.3k

vol 24h

$10

spread

0.05

ends

Nov 7, 2028

If Donald Trump has announced that he will run for President of the United States in 2028 before Nov 7, 2028, including running for the nomination of any political party to contest that office, then the market resolves to Yes.

timeline

opened · Oct 25, 2025opencloses · Nov 7, 2028

Before Election Day · prices over time

−24h

now

volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect

no volume history