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If Trump becomes constitutionally eligible to run for a third term, and runs, will he win?

Manifold·Politics
United States
52%
· 0.0pp
24h change
vol cum
M8.6k
vol 24h
M0
spread
n/a
ends
Nov 9, 2028
YES 52¢
NO 48¢

Resolves N/A if he does not become constitutionally eligible for a third term by the filing deadlines in states that comprise ≥270 EVs for the 2028 election Update 2025-09-05 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): - Constitutional eligibility will be assessed on election day, rather than at state filing deadlines.

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opened · Feb 19, 2025opencloses · Nov 9, 2028
If Trump becomes constitutionally eligible to run for a third term, and runs, will he win? · prices over time
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