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Will Trump be impeached for a third (total) time during his second term?

Manifold·Politics
United States

As of 14:48 UTC on 17 Oct 2026, Manifold prices “Will Trump be impeached for a third (total) time during his second term?” at 65%. The market has no Manifold-reported volume in the last 24 hours. pdata.world compares it with 24 related events on Manifold, Kalshi, Polymarket and Predict.

65%
vol cum
M20k
vol 24h
M0
spread
n/a
ends
Oct 20, 2029
YES 65¢
NO 35¢

Resolves when the House passes articles of impeachment, or whenever Trump leaves office (presumably no later than the end of his second term).

timeline
opened · Dec 5, 2024opencloses · Oct 20, 2029
Will Trump be impeached for a third (total) time during his second term? · prices over time
−24h
now
no price history yet
volume · 24h windows
no volume history

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