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event13 outcomes
How will trump’s second term end?
vol cum
M13.6k
vol 24h
M0
outcomes
13
ends
Jan 26, 2029
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This question is intended to be comprehensive for all possible ways trump’s second term could end. Update 2025-04-28 (PST): - If Trump is impeached and then resigns before or during the Senate trial, the market will be resolved as resigns. (AI summary of creator comment) Update 2026-05-06 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): If Trump tries to run for a third term and fails (e.g. is prevented from being placed on the ballot by a court decision), the market will resolve as "runs and loses".
politics-defaultus-politicsdonald-trumptrumps-second-termus-democracy
marketselected outcome
He declines to run a third time and steps down
rank #1
United States
64¢
· 0.0pp
24h change
vol cum
M1.1k
vol 24h
M0
spread
n/a
ends
Jan 26, 2029
timeline
opened · Apr 19, 2025opencloses · Jan 26, 2029
He declines to run a third time and steps down · prices over time
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now
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