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event21 outcomes

Who will leave Trump's Cabinet next?

Kalshi·Politics·ends Jan 20, 2029

As of 13:34 UTC on 13 Oct 2026, “Pete Hegseth” leads “Who will leave Trump's Cabinet next?” on Kalshi at 18% (-5pp in 24h), followed by “Robert F. Kennedy Jr.” at 18% (-1pp in 24h) and “Markwayne Mullin” at 15%, out of 21 outcomes. The event has $366 in Kalshi-reported 24-hour volume. pdata.world compares it with 23 related events on Polymarket, Kalshi, Manifold and Gemini.

vol cum
$241k
vol 24h
$366
outcomes
21
ends
Jan 20, 2029
outcomesclick to inspect →
showing 5 of 21
marketselected outcome
Pete Hegseth
rank #1
United States
18¢
▼ 5.0pp
24h change
vol cum
$65.7k
vol 24h
$232
spread
0.04
ends
Jan 20, 2029

If Pete Hegseth is the first member of the Cabinet of Donald Trump to leave or announce they will leave (such as by quitting, being fired, or being impeached) after May 22, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

timeline
opened · May 22, 2026opencloses · Jan 20, 2029
Pete Hegseth · prices over time
−24h
now
volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect
no volume history

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