What is the current probability for "When will a member of Trump's Cabinet leave?"?

Current Kalshi odds for "When will a member of Trump's Cabinet leave?": Before Jan 2027 68%, Before Dec 2026 58%, Before Oct 2026 51% (top 3 of 8 outcomes), refreshed continuously.

When does this market resolve?

This event resolves on 1/2/2027.

How is the probability calculated?

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from kalshi's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Where can I get this data programmatically?

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/kalshi/KXCABLEAVE-26MAY22. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

opentrade on Kalshi

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event8 outcomes

When will a member of Trump's Cabinet leave?

·Politics·ends Jan 2, 2027

vol cum

$6.6k

vol 24h

outcomes

ends

Jan 2, 2027

outcomesclick to inspect →

showing 5 of 8

marketselected outcome

Before Jan 2027

rank #1

United States

68¢

· 0.0pp

24h change

vol cum

$1k

vol 24h

spread

0.05

ends

Jan 2, 2027

If any member of Trump's Cabinet leaves their office, or announces they will leave their office, from before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

timeline

opened · May 22, 2026opencloses · Jan 2, 2027

Before Jan 2027 · prices over time

−24h

now

volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect

no volume history