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event5 outcomes

Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026?

Limitless·Politics·ends Jan 1, 2027

As of 05:54 UTC on 21 Oct 2026, the highest-priced of the 5 markets in “Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026?” on Limitless are “Karoline Leavitt” at 50%, “Susie Wiles” at 37% (-2pp in 24h) and “Amy Gleason” at 30%. The event has no Limitless-reported volume in the last 24 hours. pdata.world matches it to “Who will leave the Trump Administration in 2026?” on Gemini, an event with 34 outcomes. pdata.world compares it with 23 related events on Kalshi, Gemini, Polymarket, Limitless and Manifold.

vol cum
$0
vol 24h
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outcomes
5
ends
Jan 1, 2027
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LimitlessPolitics
marketselected outcome
Karoline Leavitt
rank #1 · closed
United States
50¢
vol cum
$0
vol 24h
$0
spread
n/a
ends
Jan 1, 2027

<p>If Karoline Leavitt leaves as White House Press Secretary before 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.</p><p><br></p><p>Karoline Leavitt must have an actual departure date by vacating the role within the time period. </p><p><br></p><p>If the person leaves the role due to death (i.e., if the person dies while holding the role), all contracts on the person may resolve to the last fair price as determined in the sole discretion of the Exchange. Temporary leaves of absence, suspensions, or recusals do not constitute leaving, resigning from, or retiring from the role unless the individual formally and permanently ceases to hold the position. If the person vacates the role and then re-occupies the role, the contract may settle on the initial vacation of the role.</p><p><br></p><p>For &quot;leave,&quot; cessation of holding the role qualifies, including resignation, retirement, removal, expiration of term without renewal, recall, or other means by which the individual no longer occupies the role—this includes both voluntary early departure AND the natural expiration of a term.</p><p>Outcome verified from <a href="http://www.abc.net.au/news/" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer">ABC News Australia</a>, <a href="https://www.bloomberg.com/news" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer">Bloomberg News</a>, <a href="https://www.cnbc.com" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer">CNBC</a>, <a href="https://www.cnn.com" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer">CNN</a>, <a href="https://www.dw.com" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer">Deutsche Welle</a>, <a href="https://www.ft.com" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer">Financial Times</a>, <a href="https://www.foxnews.com" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer">Fox News</a>, <a href="https://www.msnbc.com/" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer">MSNBC</a>, <a href="https://www.prnewswire.com/" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer">official government records and registries</a>, <a href="https://www.prnewswire.com/" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer">person</a>, <a href="https://www.politico.com/" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer">Politico</a>, <a href="https://www.reuters.com/" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer">Reuters</a>, <a href="https://apnews.com/" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer">the Associated Press</a>, <a href="https://www.prnewswire.com/" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer">the body, agency, company, organization, or entity at which role is held</a>, <a href="https://www.nytimes.com" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer">the New York Times</a>, <a href="https://www.wsj.com/" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer">The Wall Street Journal</a>, <a href="https://www.washingtonpost.com/" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer">The Washington Post</a>, and <a href="https://www.bbc.co.uk" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer">BBC</a>.</p>

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opened · Sep 5, 2026closedresolved · Sep 1, 2026
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