event16 outcomes

Who will leave Trump Administration before 2027?

Predict·Politics·ends Jan 1, 2027

As of 06:46 UTC on 7 Nov 2026, the highest-priced of the 16 markets in “Who will leave Trump Administration before 2027?” on Predict are “Susie Wiles” at 100% (+61pp in 24h), “Pete Hegseth” at 31% (-11pp in 24h) and “Kristi Noem” at 28% (+2pp in 24h). The event has no Predict-reported volume in the last 24 hours. pdata.world matches it to “Who will leave Trump Administration before 2027?” on Polymarket, an event with 21 outcomes. pdata.world compares it with 19 related events on Polymarket, Kalshi, Gemini, Predict and Manifold.

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Jan 1, 2027

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PoliticsTrump

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Susie Wiles

rank #1 · resolved: yes

United States

100¢

▲ 61.1pp

24h change

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vol 24h

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0.02

ends

Jan 1, 2027

This market will resolve to “Yes” if it is announced that that the listed individual will leave the Trump Administration, or otherwise ceases to be a member of administration by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of the listed individual's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The Trump administration includes individuals formally appointed by Donald Trump to roles within the U.S. federal government, such as Cabinet members, Executive Office staff, senior policy advisors, ambassadors, or White House staff whose appointments are publicly announced by official government channels. The primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reopening may also be used.

timeline

opened · Nov 6, 2026closedresolved · Nov 7, 2026

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