What is the current probability for "Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026?"?

The contested Kalshi outcomes for "Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026?" are Pete Hegseth 35%, Amy Gleason 31%, Doug Collins 27% — 7 of 38 outcomes are already 95%+. Refreshed continuously.

When does this market resolve?

This event resolves on Jan 8, 2027.

How is the probability calculated?

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from kalshi's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Where can I get this data programmatically?

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/kalshi/KXTRUMPADMINLEAVE-26DEC31. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.