What is the current probability for "What will be the 51st state in Trump's term?"?

Current Kalshi odds for "What will be the 51st state in Trump's term?": Venezuela 2%, Cuba 2%, Canada 2% (top 3 of 8 outcomes), refreshed continuously.

When does this market resolve?

This event resolves on Jan 20, 2029.

How is the probability calculated?

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from kalshi's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Where can I get this data programmatically?

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/kalshi/KXSTATE51-29. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.