event9 outcomes

What movies will rank in the top 3 for box office in China during 2026?

Predict·Culture·ends Jan 1, 2027

As of 19:26 UTC on 31 Oct 2026, the highest-priced of the 9 markets in “What movies will rank in the top 3 for box office in China during 2026?” on Predict are “飞驰人生3” at 99%, “欢迎来龙餐馆” at 97% and “功夫女足” at 71%. The event has $14 in Predict-reported 24-hour volume. pdata.world compares it with 24 related events on Polymarket, Manifold, Myriad and Kalshi.

vol cum

$288k

vol 24h

$14

outcomes

ends

Jan 1, 2027

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showing 5 of 9

CultureMovies

marketselected outcome

飞驰人生3

rank #1

China

99¢

▲ 0.3pp

24h change

vol cum

$44.1k

vol 24h

spread

0.01

ends

Jan 1, 2027

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed movie is in the top 3 for movies with the highest 2026 box office in China. Box office figures outside of China, and at any time outside of 2026 will not count toward the resolution of this market. The official resolution source for this market is Maoyan (https://piaofang.maoyan.com/rankings/year). Specifically this market will resolve to the movies that rank number 1, 2 or 3 at the site with the year set to "2026", once data for December 31 is made available. In the event of any ties for exact box office figures, the rank shown on Maoyan will be used to determine the outcome. If no final data is available by February 1st, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, official sources or a consensus of credible reporting can be used.

timeline

opened · Jul 25, 2026opencloses · Jan 1, 2027

飞驰人生3 · prices over time

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