Which movie has 3rd biggest opening weekend in 2026?
Polymarket·Culture·ends Feb 1, 2027
As of 12:09 UTC on 23 Oct 2026, “Toy Story 5” leads “Which movie has 3rd biggest opening weekend in 2026?” on Polymarket at 96%, followed by “Other” at 50% and “Dune: Messiah” at 3%, out of 8 outcomes. The event has $451 in Polymarket-reported 24-hour volume. pdata.world compares it with 24 related events on Polymarket, Predict, Manifold and Kalshi.
vol cum
$43.7k
vol 24h
$451
outcomes
8
ends
Feb 1, 2027
outcomesclick to inspect →
showing 5 of 8
MoviesCultureThe OdysseySpider-Man
marketselected outcome
Toy Story 5
rank #1
United States
T
96¢
· 0.0pp
24h change
vol cum
$29.6k
vol 24h
$75
spread
0.01
ends
Jan 1, 2027
This market will resolve according to the title of the movie which grosses the third-most domestically on its opening weekend among all movies in 2026. The "Weekend Box Office Performance" table on the page for the relevant movie on https://www.the-numbers.com/movies/year/2026 will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend are final (i.e. not studio estimates).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses the third-most on its 3-day domestic opening weekend among all movies in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The named movies will be primarily ranked by domestic opening weekend gross. If two or more movies are tied on domestic opening weekend gross, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the movies' listed titles. This market will resolve to the movie that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's 3-day opening weekend (Friday, Saturday, Sunday), regardless of whether the movie has a 4 or 5-day opening weekend.
If another movie's opening weekend box office performance surpasses the 3rd-place ranking after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.