What is the current probability for "Highest grossing movie in 2026?"?

Current Polymarket odds for "Highest grossing movie in 2026?": Spider-Man: Brand New Day 91%, Avengers: Doomsday 8%, The Odyssey 1% (top 3 of 15 outcomes), refreshed continuously.

When does this market resolve?

This event resolves on 12/31/2026.

How is the probability calculated?

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from polymarket's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Where can I get this data programmatically?

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/polymarket/79831. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

opentrade on Polymarket

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event15 outcomes

Highest grossing movie in 2026?

·Culture·ends Dec 31, 2026

vol cum

$16.6M

vol 24h

$50.9k

outcomes

ends

Dec 31, 2026

outcomesclick to inspect →

showing 5 of 15

Rewards 20, 4.5, 50The OdysseyCultureMoviesSpider-Man

marketselected outcome

Spider-Man: Brand New Day

rank #1

91¢

▼ 0.5pp

24h change

vol cum

$527.4k

vol 24h

$1.2k

spread

0.01

ends

Dec 31, 2026

This market will resolve according to the title of the film with the highest 2026 gross according to the "Gross" column on https://www.boxofficemojo.com/year/2026/?grossesOption=calendarGrosses once data for December 31 is made available. Note: This market is about the movie's domestic calendar gross in 2026 - dates outside of 2026 will not count toward this movie's gross. In the event of an exact tie the film that comes first alphabetically will be considered the winner. If there is no final data available by January 7, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.

timeline

opened · Nov 12, 2025opencloses · Dec 31, 2026

Spider-Man: Brand New Day · prices over time

−24h

now

volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect

no volume history