What is the current probability for "Egypt vs Argentina"?

Current Gemini odds for "Egypt vs Argentina": Argentina advances 86%, Egypt advances 17% (top 2 of 2 outcomes), refreshed continuously.

When does this market resolve?

This event resolves on 7/8/2026.

How is the probability calculated?

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from gemini's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Where can I get this data programmatically?

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/gemini/123143. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

opentrade on Gemini

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event2 outcomes

Egypt vs Argentina

·Sports·ends Jul 8, 2026

vol cum

$15k

vol 24h

$14.7k

outcomes

ends

Jul 8, 2026

outcomesclick to inspect →

Egypt vs Argentina: To Advance

World Cup

marketselected outcome

Argentina advances

rank #1

86¢

▼ 1.0pp

24h change

vol cum

—

vol 24h

—

spread

0.03

ends

Jul 8, 2026

If Argentina wins its Men's World Cup match against Egypt scheduled for July 7, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET, including if the match is decided in extra time or a penalty shootout, this market will resolve to Yes. Otherwise, it will resolve to No. The Underlying is the official result of the specified sporting event. Source Agencies, in order, are the league governing the event, ESPN, Fox Sports, and the official broadcast partner of the event. If the Expiration Value cannot be determined on the Expiration Date, including because the event is cancelled or a team forfeits, withdraws, or is disqualified, the Exchange may determine payouts pursuant to the Market Outcome Review Process. View the full rules.

timeline

opened · Jul 4, 2026opencloses · Jul 8, 2026

Argentina advances · prices over time

−24h

now

volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect

no volume history

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