What is the current probability for "ETH price on August 31"?

The contested Gemini outcomes for "ETH price on August 31" are $1,750 or above 73%, $2,000 or above 29%, $2,250 or above 7% — 4 of 8 outcomes are already 95%+. Refreshed continuously.

When does this market resolve?

This event resolves on 8/31/2026.

How is the probability calculated?

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from gemini's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Where can I get this data programmatically?

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/gemini/170303. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

opentrade on Gemini

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event8 outcomes

ETH price on August 31

·Crypto·ends Aug 31, 2026

vol cum

$24.2k

vol 24h

$23.8k

outcomes

ends

Aug 31, 2026

outcomesclick to inspect →

showing 5 of 8

Interval ETH price prediction event expiring on August 31, 2026 at 5pm ET

Ether

marketselected outcome

$750 or above

rank #1

99¢

· 0.0pp

24h change

vol cum

—

vol 24h

—

spread

0.01

ends

Aug 31, 2026

If the price of Ether (ETH) is $750 or above on August 31, 2026 at 5pm ET, this market will resolve to Yes. Otherwise, it will resolve to No. If no eligible trade occurs during the contract window, this contract will resolve based on the most recent traded price prior. Outcome verified against the GRR-KAIKO_RFR_ETHUSD_60S index. View the full rules.

timeline

opened · Jul 31, 2026opencloses · Aug 31, 2026

$750 or above · prices over time

−24h

now

volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect

no volume history

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