What is the current probability for "BTC price today at 3pm EDT"?

The contested Gemini outcomes for "BTC price today at 3pm EDT" are $63,100 or above 91%, $63,400 or above 15%, $63,500 or above 10% — 2 of 11 outcomes are already 95%+. Refreshed continuously.

When does this market resolve?

This event resolves on 8/2/2026.

How is the probability calculated?

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from gemini's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Where can I get this data programmatically?

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/gemini/173481. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

pasttrade on Gemini

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event11 outcomes

BTC price today at 3pm EDT

·Crypto·ends Aug 2, 2026

vol cum

$40.6k

vol 24h

$40.6k

outcomes

ends

Aug 2, 2026

outcomesclick to inspect →

showing 5 of 11

Interval BTC price prediction event expiring on August 2, 2026 at 3pm ET

Bitcoin

marketselected outcome

$63,200 or above

rank #1

98¢

▲ 27.0pp

24h change

vol cum

—

vol 24h

—

spread

0.04

ends

Aug 2, 2026

If the price of Bitcoin (BTC) is $63,200 or above on August 2, 2026 at 3pm ET, this market will resolve to Yes. Otherwise, it will resolve to No. If no eligible trade occurs during the contract window, this contract will resolve based on the most recent traded price prior. Outcome verified against the GRR-KAIKO_RFR_BTCUSD_60S index. View the full rules.

timeline

opened · Aug 2, 2026closedresolved · Aug 2, 2026

$63,200 or above · prices over time

−24h

now

volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect

no volume history

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