What is the current probability for "Frances Tiafoe vs Marin Cilic"?

Current Gemini odds for "Frances Tiafoe vs Marin Cilic": Frances Tiafoe 100%, Marin Cilic 0% (top 2 of 2 outcomes), refreshed continuously.

When does this market resolve?

This event resolves on 8/5/2026.

How is the probability calculated?

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from gemini's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Where can I get this data programmatically?

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/gemini/176734. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

closedtrade on Gemini

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event2 outcomes

Frances Tiafoe vs Marin Cilic

·Sports·ends Aug 5, 2026

vol cum

$31.2k

vol 24h

$31.2k

outcomes

ends

Aug 5, 2026

outcomesclick to inspect →

Frances Tiafoe vs Marin Cilic

ATP

marketselected outcome

Frances Tiafoe

rank #1 · resolved: yes

100¢

▲ 34.0pp

24h change

vol cum

—

vol 24h

—

spread

0.04

ends

Aug 5, 2026

This market resolves to Yes if Frances Tiafoe wins the tennis match between Frances Tiafoe and Marin Cilic scheduled for August 4, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET. Otherwise, it resolves to No. The Underlying is the official result of the specified sporting event. Source Agencies, in order, are the tournament governing body (ATP, WTA, ITF), ESPN, Fox Sports, and the broadcast partner of the event. If the Expiration Value cannot be determined on the Expiration Date (including because the event is cancelled or a player forfeits, withdraws, or is disqualified), the Exchange may determine payouts pursuant to the Market Outcome Review Process. Read the full contract terms & conditions

timeline

opened · Aug 4, 2026closedresolved · Aug 5, 2026

Frances Tiafoe · prices over time

−24h

now

volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect

no volume history

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