What is the current probability for "Casper Ruud vs Joao Fonseca"?

Current Gemini odds for "Casper Ruud vs Joao Fonseca": Joao Fonseca 100%, Casper Ruud 0% (top 2 of 2 outcomes), refreshed continuously.

When does this market resolve?

This event resolves on 8/8/2026.

How is the probability calculated?

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from gemini's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Where can I get this data programmatically?

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/gemini/179755. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

closedtrade on Gemini

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event2 outcomes

Casper Ruud vs Joao Fonseca

·Sports·ends Aug 8, 2026

vol cum

$96.9k

vol 24h

$96.9k

outcomes

ends

Aug 8, 2026

outcomesclick to inspect →

Casper Ruud vs Joao Fonseca

ATP

marketselected outcome

Joao Fonseca

rank #1 · resolved: yes

100¢

▲ 41.0pp

24h change

vol cum

—

vol 24h

—

spread

0.04

ends

Aug 8, 2026

This market resolves to Yes if Joao Fonseca wins the tennis match between Joao Fonseca and Casper Ruud scheduled for August 7, 2026 at 12:30 PM ET. Otherwise, it resolves to No. The Underlying is the official result of the specified sporting event. Source Agencies, in order, are the tournament governing body (ATP, WTA, ITF), ESPN, Fox Sports, and the broadcast partner of the event. If the Expiration Value cannot be determined on the Expiration Date (including because the event is cancelled or a player forfeits, withdraws, or is disqualified), the Exchange may determine payouts pursuant to the Market Outcome Review Process. Read the full contract terms & conditions

timeline

opened · Aug 6, 2026closedresolved · Aug 8, 2026

Joao Fonseca · prices over time

−24h

now

volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect

no volume history

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