What is the current probability for "Joao Fonseca vs Ben Shelton"?

Current Gemini odds for "Joao Fonseca vs Ben Shelton": Ben Shelton 55%, Joao Fonseca 48% (top 2 of 2 outcomes), refreshed continuously.

When does this market resolve?

This event resolves on 8/10/2026.

How is the probability calculated?

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from gemini's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Where can I get this data programmatically?

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/gemini/183787. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

soontrade on Gemini

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event2 outcomes

Joao Fonseca vs Ben Shelton

·Sports·ends Aug 10, 2026

vol cum

$12.7k

vol 24h

$12.7k

outcomes

ends

Aug 10, 2026

outcomesclick to inspect →

Joao Fonseca vs Ben Shelton

ATP

marketselected outcome

Ben Shelton

rank #1

55¢

· 0.0pp

24h change

vol cum

—

vol 24h

—

spread

0.03

ends

Aug 10, 2026

This market resolves to Yes if Ben Shelton wins the tennis match between Ben Shelton and Joao Fonseca scheduled for August 9, 2026 at 12:30 PM ET. Otherwise, it resolves to No. The Underlying is the official result of the specified sporting event. Source Agencies, in order, are the tournament governing body (ATP, WTA, ITF), ESPN, Fox Sports, and the broadcast partner of the event. If the Expiration Value cannot be determined on the Expiration Date (including because the event is cancelled or a player forfeits, withdraws, or is disqualified), the Exchange may determine payouts pursuant to the Market Outcome Review Process. Read the full contract terms & conditions

timeline

opened · Aug 8, 2026closing sooncloses · Aug 10, 2026

Ben Shelton · prices over time

−24h

now

volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect

no volume history

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