What is the current probability for "BMW Championship Winner"?

Current Gemini odds for "BMW Championship Winner": Scottie Scheffler 26%, Rory McIlroy 7%, Ludvig Åberg 7% (top 3 of 50 outcomes), refreshed continuously.

When does this market resolve?

This event resolves on 8/24/2026.

How is the probability calculated?

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from gemini's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Where can I get this data programmatically?

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/gemini/199875. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

opentrade on Gemini

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event50 outcomes

BMW Championship Winner

·Sports·ends Aug 24, 2026

vol cum

$13.4k

vol 24h

$12k

outcomes

ends

Aug 24, 2026

outcomesclick to inspect →

showing 5 of 50

BMW Championship Winner

Golf

marketselected outcome

Scottie Scheffler

rank #1

26¢

▼ 2.0pp

24h change

vol cum

—

vol 24h

—

spread

0.01

ends

Aug 24, 2026

This market resolves to Yes if Scottie Scheffler is officially declared the winner of the BMW Championship originally scheduled for August 20, 2026 at 8:00 AM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to No. The Underlying is the official result of the specified sporting event. Source Agencies, in order, are the governing body of the event (PGA Tour, DP World Tour, LPGA, Champions Tour, or LIV Golf), ESPN, Golf Channel, and the broadcast partner of the event. If the Expiration Value cannot be determined on the Expiration Date (including because the event is cancelled or a player forfeits, withdraws, or is disqualified), the Exchange may determine payouts pursuant to the Market Outcome Review Process. Read the full contract terms & conditions

timeline

opened · Aug 17, 2026opencloses · Aug 24, 2026

Scottie Scheffler · prices over time

−24h

now

volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect

no volume history

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