What is the current probability for "Arthur Fils vs Frances Tiafoe"?

Current Gemini odds for "Arthur Fils vs Frances Tiafoe": Arthur Fils 99%, Frances Tiafoe 1% (top 2 of 2 outcomes), refreshed continuously.

When does this market resolve?

This event resolves on 8/24/2026.

How is the probability calculated?

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from gemini's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Where can I get this data programmatically?

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/gemini/209731. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

soontrade on Gemini

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event2 outcomes

Arthur Fils vs Frances Tiafoe

·Sports·ends Aug 24, 2026

vol cum

$38.3k

vol 24h

$38.3k

outcomes

ends

Aug 24, 2026

outcomesclick to inspect →

Arthur Fils vs Frances Tiafoe

ATP

marketselected outcome

Arthur Fils

rank #1

99¢

▲ 33.0pp

24h change

vol cum

—

vol 24h

—

spread

0.01

ends

Aug 24, 2026

This market resolves to Yes if Arthur Fils wins the tennis match between Arthur Fils and Frances Tiafoe scheduled for August 23, 2026 at 4:30 PM ET. Otherwise, it resolves to No. The Underlying is the official result of the specified sporting event. Source Agencies, in order, are the tournament governing body (ATP, WTA, ITF), ESPN, Fox Sports, and the broadcast partner of the event. If the Expiration Value cannot be determined on the Expiration Date (including because the event is cancelled or a player forfeits, withdraws, or is disqualified), the Exchange may determine payouts pursuant to the Market Outcome Review Process. Read the full contract terms & conditions

timeline

opened · Aug 23, 2026closing sooncloses · Aug 24, 2026

Arthur Fils · prices over time

−24h

now

volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect

no volume history

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