What is the current probability for "BTC price today at 12pm EDT"?

"Yes" is currently 0% (-50pp in the last 24h) on Gemini, refreshed continuously from the source's live prices.

When does this market resolve?

This event resolves on 8/26/2026.

How is the probability calculated?

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from gemini's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Where can I get this data programmatically?

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/gemini/216147. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

marketsingle market

BTC price today at 12pm EDT

·Crypto

▼ 50.0pp

24h change

vol cum

—

vol 24h

—

spread

0.21

ends

Aug 26, 2026

Yes 0¢

No 100¢

If the price of Bitcoin (BTC) is greater than or equal to the price specified in the title on August 26, 2026 at 12pm ET, this market will resolve to Yes. Otherwise, it will resolve to No. If no eligible trade occurs during the contract window, this contract will resolve based on the most recent traded price prior. Outcome verified against the GRR-KAIKO_RFR_BTCUSD_60S index. View the full rules.

Bitcoin

timeline

opened · Aug 26, 2026closedresolved · Aug 26, 2026

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