What is the current probability for "BTC price today at 11pm EDT"?

The contested Gemini outcomes for "BTC price today at 11pm EDT" are $77,000 or above 91%, $77,200 or above 81%, $76,900 or above 76% — 2 of 9 outcomes are already 95%+. Refreshed continuously.

When does this market resolve?

This event resolves on Sep 2, 2026.

How is the probability calculated?

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from gemini's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Where can I get this data programmatically?

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/gemini/227796. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

pasttrade on Gemini

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event9 outcomes

BTC price today at 11pm EDT

·Crypto·ends Sep 2, 2026

vol cum

$24.3k

vol 24h

$24.3k

outcomes

ends

Sep 2, 2026

outcomesclick to inspect →

showing 5 of 9

Interval BTC price prediction event expiring on September 1, 2026 at 11pm ET

Bitcoin

marketselected outcome

$76,700 or above

rank #1

98¢

▼ 1.0pp

24h change

vol cum

—

vol 24h

—

spread

0.08

ends

Sep 2, 2026

If the price of Bitcoin (BTC) is $76,700 or above on September 1, 2026 at 11pm ET, this market will resolve to Yes. Otherwise, it will resolve to No. If no eligible trade occurs during the contract window, this contract will resolve based on the most recent traded price prior. Outcome verified against the GRR-KAIKO_RFR_BTCUSD_60S index. View the full rules.

timeline

opened · Sep 2, 2026closedresolved · Sep 2, 2026

$76,700 or above · prices over time

−24h

now

volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect

no volume history

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