event32 outcomes

Who will be charged with a federal crime in 2026?

Gemini·Politics·ends Jan 1, 2027

As of 15:39 UTC on 27 Oct 2026, “Raúl Castro” leads “Who will be charged with a federal crime in 2026?” on Gemini at 100%, followed by “Gustavo Petro” at 99% and “Hillary Clinton” at 99%, out of 32 outcomes. The event has no Gemini-reported volume in the last 24 hours. pdata.world matches it to “Who will be arrested in 2026?” on Kalshi, an event with 26 outcomes. pdata.world compares it with 23 related events on Kalshi and Polymarket.

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$55.6k

vol 24h

outcomes

ends

Jan 1, 2027

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Which listed people will be formally charged with a federal crime before Jan 1, 2027?

Courts

marketselected outcome

Raúl Castro

rank #1 · resolved: yes

Cuba

100¢

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vol 24h

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spread

0.01

ends

Jan 1, 2027

If Raúl Castro has been formally charged with a federal crime after issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Formal charges require the filing of a criminal complaint, information, or indictment with an appropriate court. Arrests without charges, being named as a target of investigation, civil lawsuits, and administrative actions do not constitute charges. If charges are filed and then dismissed before the deadline, the market still resolves to Yes. Read the full contract terms & conditions.

timeline

opened · Apr 30, 2026closedresolved · Aug 5, 2026

Raúl Castro · prices over time

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