Who will be charged with a federal crime in 2026?

If Raúl Castro has been formally charged with a federal crime after issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Formal charges require the filing of a criminal complaint, information, or indictment with an appropriate court. Arrests without charges, being named as a target of investigation, civil lawsuits, and administrative actions do not constitute charges. If charges are filed and then dismissed before the deadline, the market still resolves to Yes. Read the full contract terms & conditions.