Question 1

What is the current probability for "When will OpenAI announce an IPO?"?

Accepted Answer

pdata aggregates live probability data for "When will OpenAI announce an IPO?" from gemini. See the markets list on this page for current values, refreshed continuously.

Question 2

When does this market resolve?

Accepted Answer

This event resolves on 6/1/2027.

Question 3

How is the probability calculated?

Accepted Answer

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from gemini's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Question 4

Where can I get this data programmatically?

Accepted Answer

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/gemini/8684. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

When will OpenAI announce an IPO?

Markets

Before Aug 1, 2026

Before May 1, 2026

Before Jun 1, 2026

Before Sep 1, 2026

Before Jul 1, 2026

Before Jan 1, 2027

Before Oct 1, 2026

Before Nov 1, 2026

Before Dec 1, 2026

Before Feb 1, 2027

Before Apr 1, 2027

Before May 1, 2027

Before Jun 1, 2027

Before Mar 1, 2027