What is the current probability for "Montana US Senate Winner"?

Current Gemini odds for "Montana US Senate Winner": Kurt Alme 87%, Seth Bodnar 13%, Alani Bankhead 3% (top 3 of 8 outcomes), refreshed continuously.

When does this market resolve?

This event resolves on 11/10/2026.

How is the probability calculated?

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from gemini's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Where can I get this data programmatically?

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/gemini/93896. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

opentrade on Gemini

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event8 outcomes

Montana US Senate Winner

·Politics·ends Nov 10, 2026

vol cum

$9k

vol 24h

$110

outcomes

ends

Nov 10, 2026

outcomesclick to inspect →

showing 5 of 8

Who will win the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Montana?

Senate

marketselected outcome

Kurt Alme

rank #1

United States

87¢

▲ 1.0pp

24h change

vol cum

—

vol 24h

—

spread

0.01

ends

Nov 10, 2026

If Kurt Alme wins the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Montana, then this market resolves to Yes. Outcome should be verified from the applicable state election authority and widely reported national sources. This event is mutually exclusive within the Montana Senate election. Read the full contract terms & conditions.

timeline

opened · Jun 17, 2026opencloses · Nov 10, 2026

Kurt Alme · prices over time

−24h

now

volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect

no volume history