What is the current probability for "Vermont Governor Winner"?

Current Gemini odds for "Vermont Governor Winner": Phil Scott 96%, Amanda Janoo 9%, Esther Charlestin 0% (top 3 of 4 outcomes), refreshed continuously.

When does this market resolve?

This event resolves on 11/10/2026.

How is the probability calculated?

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from gemini's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Where can I get this data programmatically?

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/gemini/96788. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

opentrade on Gemini

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event4 outcomes

Vermont Governor Winner

·Politics·ends Nov 10, 2026

vol cum

vol 24h

outcomes

ends

Nov 10, 2026

outcomesclick to inspect →

Who will win the 2026 gubernatorial election in Vermont?

Governor

marketselected outcome

Phil Scott

rank #1

United States

96¢

▼ 1.0pp

24h change

vol cum

—

vol 24h

—

spread

0.04

ends

Nov 10, 2026

If Phil Scott wins the 2026 gubernatorial election in Vermont, then this market resolves to Yes. Outcome should be verified from the applicable state election authority and widely reported national sources. This event is mutually exclusive within the Vermont gubernatorial election. Read the full contract terms & conditions.

timeline

opened · Jun 18, 2026opencloses · Nov 10, 2026

Phil Scott · prices over time

−24h

now

volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect

no volume history