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event40 outcomes

How low will the 10-year US Treasury yield get by Nov 30, 2026?

Kalshi·Finance·ends Dec 2, 2026

As of 16:55 UTC on 5 Nov 2026, the highest-priced of the 40 markets in “How low will the 10-year US Treasury yield get by Nov 30, 2026?” on Kalshi are “5.03% or below” at 98%, “4.94% or below” at 91% and “4.83% or below” at 88% (+37pp in 24h). The event has $2.5k in Kalshi-reported 24-hour volume. pdata.world tracks it alongside markets from 8 prediction-market platforms.

vol cum
$4.3k
vol 24h
$2.5k
outcomes
40
ends
Dec 2, 2026
outcomesclick to inspect →
showing 5 of 40
marketselected outcome
5.03% or below
rank #1 · resolved: yes
98¢
vol cum
$119
vol 24h
$0
spread
1.00
ends
Dec 2, 2026

If the daily published par yield for the 10-year U.S. Treasury is below 5.04% on any business day between Nov 1, 2026 and Nov 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

timeline
opened · Nov 1, 2026closedresolved · Nov 2, 2026
5.03% or below · prices over time
−24h
now
volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect
no volume history

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