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event20 outcomes

How low will the 10Y US Treasury yield get by Oct 9, 2026?

Kalshi·Finance·ends Oct 11, 2026

As of 05:09 UTC on 8 Oct 2026, the highest-priced of the 20 markets in “How low will the 10Y US Treasury yield get by Oct 9, 2026?” on Kalshi are “5.11% or below” at 99%, “5.13% or below” at 99% and “5.15% or below” at 99%. The event has $4k in Kalshi-reported 24-hour volume. pdata.world tracks it alongside markets from 8 prediction-market platforms.

vol cum
$4.1k
vol 24h
$4k
outcomes
20
ends
Oct 11, 2026
outcomesclick to inspect →
showing 5 of 20
marketselected outcome
5.11% or below
rank #1
99¢
· 0.0pp
24h change
vol cum
$141
vol 24h
$141
spread
0.99
ends
Oct 11, 2026

If the daily published par yield for the 10Y U.S. Treasury is below 5.12% on any business day between Oct 2, 2026 and Oct 9, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

timeline
opened · Oct 2, 2026opencloses · Oct 11, 2026
5.11% or below · prices over time
−24h
now
volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect
no volume history

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