What is the current probability for "US gas prices tomorrow"?

The contested Kalshi outcomes for "US gas prices tomorrow" are Above 4.020 83%, Above 4.025 11% — 4 of 17 outcomes are already 95%+. Refreshed continuously.

When does this market resolve?

This event resolves on 8/15/2026.

How is the probability calculated?

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from kalshi's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Where can I get this data programmatically?

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/kalshi/KXAAAGASD-26AUG08. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

opentrade on Kalshi

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event17 outcomes

US gas prices tomorrow

·Economy·ends Aug 15, 2026

vol cum

$111.3k

vol 24h

$111.2k

outcomes

ends

Aug 15, 2026

outcomesclick to inspect →

showing 5 of 17

marketselected outcome

Above 4.000

rank #1

United States

99¢

· 0.0pp

24h change

vol cum

$2.3k

vol 24h

$2.3k

spread

0.01

ends

Aug 15, 2026

If average regular gas prices for United States are strictly greater than $4.000 on Aug 8, 2026 according to AAA, then the market resolves to Yes.

timeline

opened · Aug 7, 2026opencloses · Aug 15, 2026

Above 4.000 · prices over time

−24h

now

volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect

no volume history