What is the current probability for "US gas prices tomorrow?"?

The contested Kalshi outcomes for "US gas prices tomorrow?" are Above 3.865 94%, Above 3.870 81%, Above 3.875 34% — 6 of 17 outcomes are already 95%+. Refreshed continuously.

When does this market resolve?

This event resolves on 7/20/2026.

How is the probability calculated?

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from kalshi's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Where can I get this data programmatically?

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/kalshi/KXAAAGASD-26JUL13. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

opentrade on Kalshi

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event17 outcomes

US gas prices tomorrow?

·Economy·ends Jul 20, 2026

vol cum

$12.4k

vol 24h

$12.2k

outcomes

ends

Jul 20, 2026

outcomesclick to inspect →

showing 5 of 17

marketselected outcome

Above 3.835

rank #1

United States

99¢

▲ 99.0pp

24h change

vol cum

$237

vol 24h

$237

spread

0.01

ends

Jul 20, 2026

If average regular gas prices for United States are strictly greater than $3.835 on Jul 13, 2026 according to AAA, then the market resolves to Yes.

timeline

opened · Jul 12, 2026opencloses · Jul 20, 2026

Above 3.835 · prices over time

−24h

now

volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect

no volume history