What is the current probability for "California gas prices tomorrow"?

The contested Kalshi outcomes for "California gas prices tomorrow" are Above 6.3900 8%, Above 6.4050 6%, Above 6.3950 3% — 6 of 17 outcomes are already 95%+. Refreshed continuously.

When does this market resolve?

This event resolves on Oct 12, 2026.

How is the probability calculated?

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from kalshi's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Where can I get this data programmatically?

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/kalshi/KXAAAGASDCA-26OCT05. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

opentrade on Kalshi

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event17 outcomes

California gas prices tomorrow

·Economy·ends Oct 12, 2026

vol cum

$14.2k

vol 24h

$14.2k

outcomes

ends

Oct 12, 2026

outcomesclick to inspect →

showing 5 of 17

marketselected outcome

Above 6.3500

rank #1

United States

99¢

▲ 99.0pp

24h change

vol cum

$4.1k

vol 24h

$4.1k

spread

0.01

ends

Oct 12, 2026

If average regular gas prices for California are strictly greater than $6.3500 on Oct 5, 2026 according to AAA, then the market resolves to Yes.

timeline

opened · Oct 4, 2026opencloses · Oct 12, 2026

Above 6.3500 · prices over time

−24h

now

volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect

no volume history