What is the current probability for "California gas prices tomorrow"?

The contested Kalshi outcomes for "California gas prices tomorrow" are Above 5.8650 85%, Above 5.8750 76%, Above 5.8600 69% — 6 of 17 outcomes are already 95%+. Refreshed continuously.

When does this market resolve?

This event resolves on Sep 16, 2026.

How is the probability calculated?

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from kalshi's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Where can I get this data programmatically?

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/kalshi/KXAAAGASDCA-26SEP09. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

opentrade on Kalshi

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event17 outcomes

California gas prices tomorrow

·Economy·ends Sep 16, 2026

vol cum

$11.4k

vol 24h

$11.4k

outcomes

ends

Sep 16, 2026

outcomesclick to inspect →

showing 5 of 17

marketselected outcome

Above 5.8250

rank #1

United States

99¢

· 0.0pp

24h change

vol cum

$1k

vol 24h

$1k

spread

0.05

ends

Sep 16, 2026

If average regular gas prices for California are strictly greater than $5.8250 on Sep 9, 2026 according to AAA, then the market resolves to Yes.

timeline

opened · Sep 8, 2026opencloses · Sep 16, 2026

Above 5.8250 · prices over time

−24h

now

volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect

no volume history