What is the current probability for "Illinois gas prices tomorrow"?

The contested Kalshi outcomes for "Illinois gas prices tomorrow" are Above 4.2850 92%, Above 4.3100 81%, Above 4.3050 79% — 8 of 17 outcomes are already 95%+. Refreshed continuously.

When does this market resolve?

This event resolves on Sep 16, 2026.

How is the probability calculated?

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from kalshi's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Where can I get this data programmatically?

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/kalshi/KXAAAGASDIL-26SEP09. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

opentrade on Kalshi

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event17 outcomes

Illinois gas prices tomorrow

·Economy·ends Sep 16, 2026

vol cum

$14.4k

vol 24h

$14.4k

outcomes

ends

Sep 16, 2026

outcomesclick to inspect →

showing 5 of 17

marketselected outcome

Above 4.2550

rank #1

United States

99¢

▲ 1.0pp

24h change

vol cum

$3.3k

vol 24h

$3.3k

spread

0.28

ends

Sep 16, 2026

If average regular gas prices for Illinois are strictly greater than $4.2550 on Sep 9, 2026 according to AAA, then the market resolves to Yes.

timeline

opened · Sep 8, 2026opencloses · Sep 16, 2026

Above 4.2550 · prices over time

−24h

now

volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect

no volume history