What is the current probability for "How high will US gas prices get in 2026?"?

The contested Kalshi outcomes for "How high will US gas prices get in 2026?" are Above $4.60 66%, Above $4.80 58%, Above $5.00 37% — 3 of 16 outcomes are already 95%+. Refreshed continuously.

When does this market resolve?

This event resolves on Jan 7, 2027.

How is the probability calculated?

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from kalshi's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Where can I get this data programmatically?

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/kalshi/KXAAAGASMAX-26DEC31. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

opentrade on Kalshi

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event16 outcomes

How high will US gas prices get in 2026?

·Economy·ends Jan 7, 2027

vol cum

$1.5M

vol 24h

$20.9k

outcomes

ends

Jan 7, 2027

outcomesclick to inspect →

showing 5 of 16

marketselected outcome

Above $4.00

rank #1 · resolved: yes

99¢

vol cum

$322

vol 24h

spread

0.08

ends

Jan 7, 2027

If AAA reports that the maximum price of national average regular gas for the US is greater than $4.00 at any time from Issuance through Dec 31, 2026, inclusive, then the market resolves to Yes.

timeline

opened · Mar 24, 2026closedresolved · Mar 31, 2026

Above $4.00 · prices over time

−24h

now

volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect

no volume history

similar markets

No similar markets for sports & price markets.