Question 1

What is the current probability for "Aberdeen South by-election winner"?

Accepted Answer

pdata aggregates live probability data for "Aberdeen South by-election winner" from kalshi. See the markets list on this page for current values, refreshed continuously.

Question 2

When does this market resolve?

Accepted Answer

This event resolves on 6/18/2027.

Question 3

How is the probability calculated?

Accepted Answer

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from kalshi's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Question 4

Where can I get this data programmatically?

Accepted Answer

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/kalshi/KXABERDEENSOUTHBY-26JUN18. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

Aberdeen South by-election winner

Markets

SNP

Conservative

Reform

Alliance for Democracy and Freedom

Green

Labour

Liberal Democrats