What is the current probability for "Melbourne Demons vs Hawthorn Hawks"?

Current Kalshi odds for "Melbourne Demons vs Hawthorn Hawks": Melbourne Demons 94%, Hawthorn Hawks 9% (top 2 of 2 outcomes), refreshed continuously.

When does this market resolve?

This event resolves on 7/18/2026.

How is the probability calculated?

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from kalshi's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Where can I get this data programmatically?

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/kalshi/KXAFLGAME-26JUL032315MELHAW. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

closedtrade on Kalshi

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event2 outcomes

Melbourne Demons vs Hawthorn Hawks

·Sports·ends Jul 18, 2026

vol cum

$18.2k

vol 24h

$16.9k

outcomes

ends

Jul 18, 2026

outcomesclick to inspect →

marketselected outcome

Melbourne Demons

rank #1 · resolved: yes

94¢

▲ 59.0pp

24h change

vol cum

$5.9k

vol 24h

$5.6k

spread

1.00

ends

Jul 18, 2026

If Melbourne Demons wins the Melbourne Demons vs Hawthorn Hawks professional AFL game originally scheduled for Jul 3, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

timeline

opened · Jun 27, 2026closedresolved · Jul 4, 2026

Melbourne Demons · prices over time

−24h

now

volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect

no volume history

similar markets

No similar markets for sports & price markets.