What is the current probability for "petal: First Week Album Equivalent Units"?

The contested Kalshi outcomes for "petal: First Week Album Equivalent Units" are Above 305K 7%, Above 650K 4%, Above 310K 3% — 11 of 31 outcomes are already 95%+. Refreshed continuously.

When does this market resolve?

This event resolves on 8/9/2026.

How is the probability calculated?

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from kalshi's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Where can I get this data programmatically?

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/kalshi/KXALBUMEQUIV-PET26AUG06. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

soontrade on Kalshi

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event31 outcomes

petal: First Week Album Equivalent Units

·Culture·ends Aug 9, 2026

vol cum

$652.5k

vol 24h

$127.6k

outcomes

ends

Aug 9, 2026

outcomesclick to inspect →

showing 5 of 31

marketselected outcome

Above 300K

rank #11

96¢

▲ 6.0pp

24h change

vol cum

$257.3k

vol 24h

$82.9k

spread

0.01

ends

Aug 9, 2026

If petal by Ariana Grande has above 300K Album Equivalent Units during the July 31, 2026 - August 6, 2026, tracking week, then the market resolves to Yes.

timeline

opened · Apr 29, 2026closing sooncloses · Aug 9, 2026

Above 300K · prices over time

−24h

now

volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect

no volume history