What is the current probability for "First Week Sales: Lost Weekend vs WILD"?

Current Kalshi odds for "First Week Sales: Lost Weekend vs WILD": Lost Weekend 53%, WILD 53% (top 2 of 2 outcomes), refreshed continuously.

When does this market resolve?

This event resolves on 9/4/2026.

How is the probability calculated?

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from kalshi's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Where can I get this data programmatically?

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/kalshi/KXALBUMVS-LOS26AUG21. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

opentrade on Kalshi

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event2 outcomes

First Week Sales: Lost Weekend vs WILD

·Culture·ends Sep 4, 2026

vol cum

$545

vol 24h

outcomes

ends

Sep 4, 2026

outcomesclick to inspect →

marketselected outcome

Lost Weekend

rank #1

53¢

· 0.0pp

24h change

vol cum

$197

vol 24h

spread

0.01

ends

Sep 4, 2026

If Lost Weekend by Phoebe Bridgers has more USA First week Album Equivalent Units on Luminate than WILD by KATSEYE within the first week of release, then the market resolves to Yes.

timeline

opened · Jun 24, 2026opencloses · Sep 4, 2026

Lost Weekend · prices over time

−24h

now

volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect

no volume history