What is the current probability for "Trump's approval rating on Jul 24, 2026?"?

Current Kalshi odds for "Trump's approval rating on Jul 24, 2026?": 40.8 to 41.0 26%, 41.1 to 41.3 26%, 41.4 to 41.6 20% (top 3 of 8 outcomes), refreshed continuously.

When does this market resolve?

This event resolves on 7/24/2026.

How is the probability calculated?

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from kalshi's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Where can I get this data programmatically?

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/kalshi/KXAPRPOTUS-26JUL24. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

opentrade on Kalshi

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event8 outcomes

Trump's approval rating on Jul 24, 2026?

·Politics·ends Jul 24, 2026

vol cum

$11.7k

vol 24h

$11.7k

outcomes

ends

Jul 24, 2026

outcomesclick to inspect →

showing 5 of 8

marketselected outcome

40.8 to 41.0

rank #1

26¢

▼ 1.0pp

24h change

vol cum

$1.6k

vol 24h

$1.6k

spread

0.01

ends

Jul 24, 2026

If the President's approval rating is between 40.8 and 41.0% at 11:00 AM ET on July 24, 2026 according to RealClearPolitics, then the market resolves to Yes.

timeline

opened · Jul 17, 2026opencloses · Jul 24, 2026

40.8 to 41.0 · prices over time

−24h

now

volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect

no volume history