What is the current probability for "Trump's approval rating on Jul 31, 2026?"?

Current Kalshi odds for "Trump's approval rating on Jul 31, 2026?": 41.1 to 41.3 28%, 40.8 to 41.0 27%, 41.4 to 41.6 18% (top 3 of 8 outcomes), refreshed continuously.

When does this market resolve?

This event resolves on 7/31/2026.

How is the probability calculated?

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from kalshi's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Where can I get this data programmatically?

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/kalshi/KXAPRPOTUS-26JUL31. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

opentrade on Kalshi

↗

event8 outcomes

Trump's approval rating on Jul 31, 2026?

·Politics·ends Jul 31, 2026

vol cum

$12.8k

vol 24h

$12.6k

outcomes

ends

Jul 31, 2026

outcomesclick to inspect →

showing 5 of 8

marketselected outcome

41.1 to 41.3

rank #1

28¢

▲ 28.0pp

24h change

vol cum

$1.2k

vol 24h

$1.2k

spread

0.01

ends

Jul 31, 2026

If the President's approval rating is between 41.1 and 41.3% at 11:00 AM ET on July 31, 2026 according to RealClearPolitics, then the market resolves to Yes.

timeline

opened · Jul 24, 2026opencloses · Jul 31, 2026

41.1 to 41.3 · prices over time

−24h

now

volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect

no volume history