What is the current probability for "Trump's approval rating on Aug 18, 2026?"?

Current Kalshi odds for "Trump's approval rating on Aug 18, 2026?": 39.1 28%, 39.2 16%, 39.0 15% (top 3 of 9 outcomes), refreshed continuously.

When does this market resolve?

This event resolves on 8/18/2026.

How is the probability calculated?

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from kalshi's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Where can I get this data programmatically?

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/kalshi/KXAPRPOTUSD-26AUG18. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

soontrade on Kalshi

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event9 outcomes

Trump's approval rating on Aug 18, 2026?

·Politics·ends Aug 18, 2026

vol cum

$17k

vol 24h

$16.8k

outcomes

ends

Aug 18, 2026

outcomesclick to inspect →

showing 5 of 9

marketselected outcome

39.1

rank #1

28¢

▲ 28.0pp

24h change

vol cum

$1.5k

vol 24h

$1.4k

spread

0.02

ends

Aug 18, 2026

If the President's approval rating is exactly 39.1% at 11:00 AM ET on August 18, 2026 according to RealClearPolitics, then the market resolves to Yes.

timeline

opened · Aug 17, 2026closing sooncloses · Aug 18, 2026

39.1 · prices over time

−24h

now

volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect

no volume history