What is the current probability for "Poljicak vs Varillas"?

Current Kalshi odds for "Poljicak vs Varillas": Mili Poljicak 56%, Juan Pablo Varillas 45% (top 2 of 2 outcomes), refreshed continuously.

When does this market resolve?

This event resolves on 8/15/2026.

How is the probability calculated?

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from kalshi's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Where can I get this data programmatically?

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/kalshi/KXATPCHALLENGERMATCH-26AUG01POLVAR. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

opentrade on Kalshi

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event2 outcomes

Poljicak vs Varillas

·Sports·ends Aug 15, 2026

vol cum

$12.7k

vol 24h

$12.6k

outcomes

ends

Aug 15, 2026

outcomesclick to inspect →

marketselected outcome

Mili Poljicak

rank #1

56¢

▲ 56.0pp

24h change

vol cum

$559

vol 24h

$559

spread

0.01

ends

Aug 15, 2026

If Mili Poljicak wins the Poljicak vs Varillas professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Challenger San Marino Semifinal after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.

timeline

opened · Aug 1, 2026opencloses · Aug 15, 2026

Mili Poljicak · prices over time

−24h

now

volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect

no volume history

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