What is the current probability for "Michalski vs Neumayer"?

Current Kalshi odds for "Michalski vs Neumayer": Daniel Michalski 57%, Lukas Neumayer 43% (top 2 of 2 outcomes), refreshed continuously.

When does this market resolve?

This event resolves on 8/27/2026.

How is the probability calculated?

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from kalshi's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Where can I get this data programmatically?

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/kalshi/KXATPCHALLENGERMATCH-26AUG13MICNEU. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

opentrade on Kalshi

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event2 outcomes

Michalski vs Neumayer

·Sports·ends Aug 27, 2026

vol cum

$464.4k

vol 24h

$416.3k

outcomes

ends

Aug 27, 2026

outcomesclick to inspect →

marketselected outcome

Daniel Michalski

rank #1

57¢

▲ 57.0pp

24h change

vol cum

$171k

vol 24h

$159.3k

spread

0.01

ends

Aug 27, 2026

If Daniel Michalski wins the Michalski vs Neumayer professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Challenger Todi Round Of 16 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.

timeline

opened · Aug 13, 2026opencloses · Aug 27, 2026

Daniel Michalski · prices over time

−24h

now

volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect

no volume history

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