What is the current probability for "Fearnley vs McDonald"?

Current Kalshi odds for "Fearnley vs McDonald": Jacob Fearnley 76%, Mackenzie McDonald 24% (top 2 of 2 outcomes), refreshed continuously.

When does this market resolve?

This event resolves on 9/2/2026.

How is the probability calculated?

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from kalshi's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Where can I get this data programmatically?

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/kalshi/KXATPCHALLENGERMATCH-26AUG19FEAMCD. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

opentrade on Kalshi

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event2 outcomes

Fearnley vs McDonald

·Sports·ends Sep 2, 2026

vol cum

$186.1k

vol 24h

$170.9k

outcomes

ends

Sep 2, 2026

outcomesclick to inspect →

marketselected outcome

Jacob Fearnley

rank #1

76¢

▲ 76.0pp

24h change

vol cum

$88.2k

vol 24h

$82.9k

spread

0.01

ends

Sep 2, 2026

If Jacob Fearnley wins the Fearnley vs McDonald professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Challenger Quebec City Round Of 32 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.

timeline

opened · Aug 19, 2026opencloses · Sep 2, 2026

Jacob Fearnley · prices over time

−24h

now

volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect

no volume history

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No similar markets for sports & price markets.